“Honnō-ji incident” refers to an event that took place on 21 June 1582 in Kyoto, Japan. Akechi Mitsuhide, a prominent general under the great Oda Nobunaga, had turned on his lord and launched a surprise attack that led to a forced suicide by Nobunaga and his son Nobutada. This was an important event, because Nobunaga, […]
Category: The Frontier posts
I am attentively watching the novel coronavirus outbreak from its relative start in the first half of January, 2019 and I cannot help but think it is, beside a great tragedy, a deep well of risk-related and system complexity related lessons. It is also a large window showcasing the operations of governments and large institutions, […]
Central bankers are quietly preparing a policy to fight the coming recession and financial reserves will be used as fuel. Do you know what are they cooking? Fairly recently, a working paper under the International Monetary Fund (IMF) named “Enabling Deep Negative Interest Rates to Fight Recessions – A Guide” has been brought […]
Something has changed, I realized. Something in the past couple of weeks has shifted and I became calmer, kinder to myself and more at ease. I think I finally understand what it was – and I am afraid to say it out loud because I could jinx it. It is success. Success has become, in […]
It was this week that I argued extensively with professors and fellow students against the tendency to minimize “the unknown” (say in econometric models) in order for the models & predictions to work. Yesterday evening, after I arrived home, I picked up the copy of NNT’s “The Black Swan” and this paragraph was right there: […]
One of the interesting and scary things that we can nowadays watch unravelling in front of our eyes is how people who are not particularly genuine, ethical, and good (indeed, between your friends you’d call them f***ing arseholes), get turned into heroes through magic as simple as writing a biography (or having it written). Because […]
We are living in the Age of Noise. Not the age of information; not the age of dis-information. The age of noise. There is a large number of people whose salaries are based on number of words written or articles published, and/or on number of views generated. These people need to produce to make a […]
Lessons learned & observations made & realizations had… in 2016 Note: for sources, ‘via’ signals ‘how I understood their [the person’s] concept’; direct quotes comes with person’s name; no source means it occurred to me Beware of dogma! DOGMA, beware! At first, one accepts certain dogma because it serves him, gives him freedom; over […]
The best books I have read in the past 12 months.
What can Churchill’s life teach us about perseverance and chipping away in the face of dire struggles?